{"id":398254,"date":"2026-10-09T11:04:56","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T05:34:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.scconline.com\/blog\/?p=398254"},"modified":"2026-10-09T11:04:56","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T05:34:56","slug":"rbi-hikes-repo-rate-to-5-50-percent-october-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.scconline.com\/blog\/post\/2026\/10\/09\/rbi-hikes-repo-rate-to-5-50-percent-october-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"RBI hikes repo rate to 5.50%; shifts policy stance to &#8216;calibrated tightening&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align: justify; line-height: 150%;\">\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 3%;\">On 7 October 2026, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) released the <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">Monetary Policy Statement<\/span> following the <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">63<span style=\"vertical-align: super;\">rd<\/span> meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee<\/span> (MPC) held from 5 to 7 October 2026 under the chairmanship of RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 3%;\">The decision follows the Committee&#8217;s assessment of evolving domestic and global macroeconomic and financial conditions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: bold;\">Key Takeaways:<\/p>\n<ol style=\"list-style-type: decimal;\">\n<li>\n<p>The MPC unanimously voted to increase the policy repo rate under the Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) by 25 basis points to <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">5.50%.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Consequently, the Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) rate stands adjusted at 5.25%, while the Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) rate and the Bank Rate have been increased to <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">5.75%.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>The MPC decided to change the policy stance to &#8220;calibrated tightening&#8221;.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>The RBI observed that the Indian economy has remained resilient despite continuing global headwinds, supported by strong private consumption, investment activity and robust exports.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Real GDP growth for 2026-27 has been projected at 7.1%.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Quarter-wise GDP growth projections are:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\n<p>Q2: 7.2%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Q3: 6.9%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Q4: 6.8%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Real GDP growth for Q1 of 2027-28 has been projected at 7.1%.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>CPI inflation increased to 4.8% in August 2026, up from 4.5% in July 2026.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>The increase in inflation was primarily driven by higher food and fuel prices, while core inflation also showed signs of broadening price pressures.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>The RBI has projected CPI inflation at 5.2% for 2026-27.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Quarter-wise inflation projections are:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\n<p>Q2: 4.9%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Q3: 6.0%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Q4: 5.7%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Inflation for Q1 of 2027-28 is projected at 5.6%, while core inflation is projected at 4.4% for 2026-27.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>The MPC highlighted risks arising from geopolitical tensions, volatility in crude oil prices, deficient monsoon conditions, El Ni&ntilde;o-related weather disruptions and tightening global financial conditions.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>The Committee noted that inflationary pressures are no longer as benign as they were last year and that policy recalibration has become necessary.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Food and fuel inflation have become more broad-based, while signs of price pressures spreading across sectors have begun to emerge.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>The Committee noted that inflation and its outlook are not as benign as last year, with headline CPI expected to average almost 5.8% over the next three quarters, making recalibration of the policy rate imperative.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Two MPC members, Dr. Nagesh Kumar and Prof. Ram Singh, were of the view that the policy stance should be retained at &#8220;neutral&#8221;.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 3%;\">The minutes of the MPC meeting will be published on <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">21 October 2026<\/span>, and the next MPC meeting is scheduled from 2 to 4 December 2026.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 3%;\">The MPC said rate cuts are off the table in the near term; further action can be a hike or a pause, depending on the growth-inflation outlook.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 3%;\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">Also Read:<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scconline.com\/blog\/post\/2026\/08\/10\/rbi-repo-rate-unchanged-august-2026-neutral-stance\/\" target=\"_blank\">RBI Keeps Repo Rate Unchanged at 5.25%; Retains Neutral Stance<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 3%;\">[Monetary Policy Statement 2026-27, dated 07-10-2026]<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-style: italic;\">RBI has raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% and changed its monetary policy stance from &#8220;neutral&#8221; to &#8220;calibrated tightening&#8221; amid rising inflationary pressures and global uncertainties.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":67525,"featured_media":398255,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1193],"tags":[116623,116621,116620,111989,116618,116619,116616,116622,116624,116617],"class_list":["post-398254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-legislationupdates","category-notifications","tag-cpi-inflation-forecast","tag-gdp-growth-projection-2026-27","tag-inflation-outlook-india","tag-monetary-policy-committee-decision","tag-mpc-october-2026-meeting","tag-rbi-calibrated-tightening","tag-rbi-monetary-policy-october-2026","tag-rbi-monetary-policy-statement","tag-rbi-repo-rate-increase","tag-repo-rate-hike-5-50"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBI repo rate hike: 25 bps to 5.50% in October 2026 | SCC Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"RBI raises repo rate by 25 bps to 5.50% and shifts to a calibrated tightening stance amid rising inflation and global uncertainty.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scconline.com\/blog\/post\/2026\/10\/09\/rbi-hikes-repo-rate-to-5-50-percent-october-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBI hikes repo rate to 5.50%; 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